CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-10-03T13:26:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-10-03T13:26ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/33724/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the NW within the outflow of the halo CME: 2024-10-03T12:48Z associated with a filament eruption lifting off near N25W52 or so seen best in SDO/GOES 304. The CME is not seen in STEREO A well, due to poor image quality and a data gap.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----
Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-10-06T18:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -48.00 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-10-08T18:00Z
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers.
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement